What happens if Ukraine agrees to cede Donbas in US peace draft?

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The war’s pressures are intensifying as a leaked US peace draft stokes a volatile mix of anger, resignation, and strategic calculus among Ukraine’s frontline forces. Soldiers warned that the plan’s core concessions—renouncing parts of the Donbas, including Luhansk and Donetsk, and limiting Ukraine’s armed forces to 600,000—could redefine the conflict’s endgame. They say the landscape of victory and memory is being rewritten as forces confront the possibility that years of hard fighting might end in land losses rather than a decisive win. Yet some voices urge a pragmatic path forward, arguing that without credible security guarantees, continued mobilization may be unsustainable for Ukraine’s economy and society. The draft also envisions elections within 100 days after the war, a proposal that clashes with Ukraine’s wartime constitution but signals a push toward political recalibration alongside military strategy.

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